APPENDIX B – The Dangers of COVID vs. the Dangers of COVID Vaccination
From a public health point of view, it is not helpful to consider the general case fatality rate. Rather, it’s a question of identifying populations at risk.
a. The Dangers of COVID
The dangers of COVID are related to age and the presence of comorbidities. 99% of deaths occur in people with comorbidity, 96% in people with multiple comorbidities according to the US CDC:
COVID survival rates by age group according to Dr. Ioannidis’ team:
Age Survival rate
0-19 99.9973%
20-29 99.986%
30-39 99.969%
40-49 99.918%
50-59 99.73%
60-69 99.41%
70+ 94.5%
These figures do not distinguish COVID from other respiratory infections in terms of lethality, and therefore do not justify a different approach to manage this disease from a public health perspective. Therefore, neither the COVID Safe Ticket nor compulsory vaccination are justified from a public health point of view!
b. The Dangers of COVID Vaccination
There are excellent vaccines, with a very favorable risk-benefit ratio, against severe diseases, such as tetanus or yellow fever, for example. However, the benefit-risk ratio sometimes turns out to be unfavorable, and the vaccine in question is then withdrawn from the market.
For example, a rotavirus vaccine was taken off the market in 1999 due to only 15 cases of intussusception https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/articles/PMC2094741/ .
The swine flu vaccination campaign in 1976 was interrupted after 25 deaths https://www.lemonde.fr/planete/article/2009/09/15/le-precedent-vaccinal-de-1976_1240713_3244.html . It also caused 532 cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome.
What about the COVID Vaccines?
A simple correlation is not synonymous with causation. We rely on the Bradford Hill criteria, which are widely verified for these vaccines as shown below. They are:
1. Strength of the association (the larger the magnitude of the effects associated with the association, the more likely a causal link is, even if a small effect does not imply no causal link);
2. Stability of the association (its repetition in time and space)
3. Consistency (the same observations are made in different populations);
4. Specificity (a cause produces a particular effect in a particular population in the absence of other explanations);
5. Temporal relationship (temporality). The causes must precede the consequences;
6. Dose-effect relationship (a larger dose leads to a larger effect);
7. Plausibility (biological plausibility, possibility of explaining the mechanisms involved);
8. Experimental evidence (in animals or in humans);
9. Analogy (possibility of alternative explanations).
For example, temporality ( # 5 ) shows a very high incidence of death in the days following vaccination, before falling back to the normal level.
The same profile of adverse reactions is observed in Europe and the United States ( # 3 ), listed below, in decreasing order of frequency compared to their respective norm:
pulmonary embolism, stroke, deep vein thrombosis, thrombosis, increased fibrin D dimers, appendicitis, tinnitus, cardiac arrest, death, Parkinson’s disease, slow speech, aphasia (inability to speak), fatigue, pericardial effusion, headache head, chills, pericarditis, deafness, myocarditis, intracranial hemorrhage, spontaneous abortion, cough, Bell’s palsy, paresthesia, blindness, dyspnea (difficulty breathing), myalgia, dysstasia (difficulty standing), convulsions, anaphylactic reaction, suicide , speech disorder, thrombocytopenic thrombotic purpura, paralysis, swelling, diarrhea, neuropathy, multiple organ dysfunction syndrome, depression.
Their number increases with the level of vaccination, and there is specificity ( # 4 ), the adverse effect profile shown above is different from that observed for influenza vaccines but is similar to the effects of COVID; also, some populations are affected differently, for example myocarditis and pericarditis affect more young men.
Biological plausibility ( # 7 ): COVID vaccines produce the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in our cells just as infection with the virus does, and the side effects mimic those seen in disease; the Spike protein shows in vitro intrinsic toxicity towards endothelial cells and cardiac pericytes:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41593-020-00771-8
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096999612030406X?via%3Dihub
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.04.30.442194v1
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.21.423721v2
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.121.318902.
Experimental evidence (animal or human, # 8 ), mouse experiments reproduce myopericarditis https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciab707/6353927 .
Strength of association ( # 1 ) and stability ( # 2 ): Report of serious adverse reactions and deaths for all COVID vaccines per million doses compared to annual influenza vaccines from 2016 to 2021, to the H1N1 strain of influenza vaccine in 2009-2010, and to all vaccines except those against COVID from 2006 to 2021 in the US VAERS system.
Analysis of VAERS data shows a much higher incidence for COVID vaccines than for influenza severe side effects (28X plus) and death (57X plus).
Absolute numbers of serious adverse reactions and deaths in VAERS for the 3 vaccines in the United States against COVID, and their ratio by number of injections.
An audit of VAERS data shows that only 14% of deaths following vaccination can be attributed to another cause; at least 67% of reports were initiated by a physician.
As the VAERS system is passive, only a small proportion of real cases are recorded there. This proportion can be estimated on the basis of a study of 64,900 employees of a Massachusetts hospital measuring the serious reactions compatible with anaphylaxis that can occur immediately after vaccination: they occurred at a rate of 2.47 per cent. 10,000 vaccinations. The incidence rate of anaphylaxis confirmed in this study is higher than that reported by the CDC on the basis of passive methods (VAERS) of spontaneous notification (0.025-0.11 per 10,000 vaccinations). https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2777417
These data suggest that the under-reporting in VAERS is by a factor of between 22.5 and 98.8!
This indicates that the number of deaths exceeds 150,000 and the number of severe side effects exceeds one million in the United States.
Absolute figures of serious adverse reactions and deaths in the European Economic Area for the 4 vaccines against COVID, and their ratio by number of injections.
79% of death reports were initiated by healthcare personnel.
The official rule in pharmacovigilance: “The analysis of reported cases takes into account clinical, chronological, semiological and pharmacological data. It may lead to the vaccine’s responsibility for the occurrence of an observed adverse event being dismissed as soon as another, certain cause is identified. “
When autopsies, which are too rarely done, are performed, between 30 and 100% of deaths are attributable to vaccination. Peter Schirmacher, chief pathologist at Heidelberg University, determined that autopsy reports indicate that, conservatively, at least 30-40% of a sample of 40 people who died within two weeks of vaccination actually died from the vaccine. https://www.aerzteblatt.de/nachrichten/126061/Heidelberger-Pathologe-pocht-auf-mehr-Obduktionen-von-Geimpften .
Professors Arne Burkhardt and Walter Lang, forensic pathologists, presented the results of ten autopsies in Reutlingen on Monday, September 20. Of the ten deaths, seven are “probably” related to the injections, of which five are “very likely”. For the last three cases, one of them remains to be evaluated, another seems to be “a coincidence”, and for the last, the link “is possible but not certain”. https://tinyurl.com/3b779fer .
In Norway, when 23 deaths following vaccination occurred in an EHPAD, the authorities carried out 13 autopsies and these 13 deaths were found to be linked to vaccination https://norwaytoday.info/news/norwegian-medicines-agency- links-13-deaths-to-vaccine-side-effects-those-who-died-were-frail-and-old/ .
A French drug assessment center concluded that COVID vaccination should be discontinued https://tinyurl.com/2s64aenn , for all 4 products. And the Moderna vaccine is abandoned by some countries for the youngest (Norway, Sweden, Denmark; France for the second dose).
Finally, in an article titled “Why are we vaccinating children against COVID?” », the authors conclude that not only is their vaccination contraindicated, but that even for the most vulnerable subjects over 65 years of age, the risk-benefit analysis shows that there are 5 times more deaths attributable to vaccination. than to disease https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221475002100161X .
It is against bioethics and the law to vaccinate groups of individuals who were excluded from phase 3 clinical trials, especially those under the age of 18. https://medcritic.fr/la-vaccination-des-enfants-contre-le-covid19-1/ :
Society, by vaccinating children, puts them at risk in order to protect adults without considering their well-being, while it is the responsibility of adults to protect themselves.
It is also not only incorrect that the delta variant would be more dangerous for children https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.10.06.21264467v1 , but data from the British National Statistics Office (ONS) indicates a 46% increase in deaths in the 15-19 age group since their vaccination was authorized (+ 63% in young men, + 16% in young women # 4 ), compared to the same period in 2020. https://theexpose.uk/2021/09/30/deaths-among-teenagers-have-increased-by-47-percent-since-covid-vaccination-began/ .
This letter, dated October 17, is translated from French and reproduced with permission from a post on LinkedIn. Please refer to the original version in French for any formal reference.
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